(;FF[4]GM[1]CA[UTF-8]RU[Chinese]SZ[9]KM[6.5]TM[1800]
EV[12th Computer Olympiad]PC[Amsterdam, The Netherlands]
DT[2007-06-11]RO[1]PB[MoGo]PW[GoLois];B[ee]BL[1799.662]C[mogoopp [?\]: start
Casillux [?\]: thanks
]
;W[dd]WL[1731.207]
;B[ed]BL[1717.995]C[ajahuang [?\]: who is white? thanks
Casillux [?\]: 0.549086(72%) || 1675303/1714639(98%)( 0%)(79%/0.45) || 15490 |22 || E6 C4 E3 D3 D7 C7 D5 C6 E2 G4
Casillux [?\]: white is Golois
ajahuang [?\]: thanks
Casillux [?\]: I copy past what mogo thinks
]
;W[ff]WL[1665.364]C[Casillux [?\]: The last sequence after the || is the principal variation
Casillux [?\]: current:
Casillux [?\]: E4 E3 D3 E2 D7 D2 G5 C6 G2 D4 
Casillux [?\]: 0.578744(108%) || 692887/725755(95%)( 1%)(56%/0.43) ||  7436 |23 || E4 E3 D3 F3 D7 D2 C3 F7 G6 E7
Casillux [?\]: 0.57 is the estimated proba of win
]
;B[ef]BL[1632.472]C[Inf2007 [-\]: what's the 108% mean?
]
;W[ec]WL[1597.905]
;B[fc]BL[1550.896]C[Casillux [?\]: it is the number of simulations in the principal variation during the last 5000 simulations
Casillux [?\]: but it is to divided by 2
Casillux [?\]: because there are two threads
Casillux [?\]: so it is 54%
Inf2007 [-\]: oh. I see, thx
Casillux [?\]: 0.581098(93%) || 1492080/1519425(98%)( 0%)(61%/0.43) || 17171 |24 || F7 D7 F8 E3 D3 F3 C5 D2 B7 C3
]
;W[eg]WL[1533.915]C[Casillux [?\]: 0.603983(126%) || 255017/260451(98%)( 0%)(74%/0.40) || 18762 |16 || D3 D8 F3 G3 E2 F8 H6 F2 F1 G2
Casillux [?\]: So D3 will be played
]
;B[dg]BL[1467.858]
;W[fd]WL[1457.076]C[Casillux [?\]: 0.655895(123%) || 361398/374778(96%)( 1%)(96%/0.35) ||  7358 |21 || D7 E8 F5 C6 E2 F8 G6 H7 B5 F3 
]
;B[dc]BL[1379.878]
;W[eb]WL[1390.426]C[Casillux [?\]: 0.651853(118%) || 2570504/2599621(99%)( 0%)(62%/0.34) || 35254 |27 || F5 C6 F8 D8 C7 C8 B7 F3 B6 G6
]
;B[fe]BL[1304.654]
;W[df]WL[1324.62]C[Casillux [?\]: 0.692281(134%) || 341835/570971(60%)(63%)(51%/0.31) || 12925 |24 || D5 F3 C6 D2 H6 F8 G7 G5 H5 D8
Casillux [?\]: 0.690022(142%) || 658776/890703(74%)(33%)(67%/0.31) || 17395 |26 || D5 C6 F8 D8 F3 E2 C7 C8 C5 G6
]
;B[de]BL[1219.978]C[Inf2007 [-\]: this looks funny now.
Casillux [?\]: funny pattern :)
Casillux [?\]: not totally symetric though :)
]
;W[dh]WL[1268.85]C[Casillux [?\]: 0.740845(150%) || 159781/241648(66%)(42%)(77%/0.26) || 12194 |18 || C4 D8 F3 E2 C2 G6 G4 H3 H4 F2
]
;B[cf]BL[1150.103]C[Inf2007 [-\]: it's interesting, mogo think's there's a 74% chance of winning, but I have a hard time seeing a human losing from this point.
Inf2007 [-\]: even if they were drunk
Casillux [?\]: :)
Casillux [?\]: The estimation is always driven towards 50%
]
;W[fg]WL[1209.087]C[Casillux [?\]: due to the random simulations
Inf2007 [-\]: right, I was just about to ask. thx
Casillux [?\]: when it looses it is optimistic, and pessimistic when winning
Casillux [?\]: 0.780430(152%) || 482702/493908(98%)( 0%)(48%/0.22) || 14740 |20 || D8 F8 G6 C6 B7 C7 C8 G8 C2 B8
Casillux [?\]: The thing to look at is:
Casillux [?\]: is it increasing or decreasing
Inf2007 [-\]: oh yeah.
Casillux [?\]: The closer you are from the end, the more precise you are
]
;B[db]BL[1087.504]
;W[fb]WL[1153.232]C[Casillux [?\]: Inf2007: do  I know you personnaly ? I don't remember exactly
Casillux [?\]: There is no name in the profile :)
]
;B[gd]BL[1027.483]C[Inf2007 [-\]: no probably not.
Casillux [?\]: ok
Inf2007 [-\]: I've posted a couple messages to the mailing list as Matt Kingston
Casillux [?\]: ok I see
Casillux [?\]: thanks 
Inf2007 [-\]: but I'm mostly just a watcher.
Casillux [?\]: :)
]
;W[cd]WL[1099.255]C[Casillux [?\]: more precisely a reader :)
]
;B[bc]BL[970.788]
;W[cg]WL[1043.168]C[Casillux [?\]: 0.842006(174%) || 682772/691467(99%)( 0%)(79%/0.16) || 18970 |23 || G8 C7 C8 B8 B9 H7 G7 A8 A7 B4 
]
;B[gb]BL[916.223]
;W[bf]WL[982.174]C[Casillux [?\]: 0.856523(169%) || 531271/536847(99%)( 0%)(92%/0.15) || 19495 |32 || B3 C7 C8 B8 B9 A8 A7 D4 C5 H7 
]
;B[bg]BL[866.179]
;W[df]WL[923.451]C[Casillux [?\]: 0.886368(176%) || 294707/296631(99%)( 0%)(69%/0.12) || 15750 |17 || C5 H7 G7 H5 B2 H8 G9 C7 C8 A3
]
;B[ce]BL[818.794]
;W[be]WL[874.95]
;B[bd]BL[773.333]C[Casillux [?\]:  0.921176(146%) || 876989/881751(99%)( 0%)(77%/0.08) || 26245 |23 || B6 H5 D3 C2 H6 H7 J7 H8 G7 G5
]
;W[ge]WL[827.836]C[Casillux [?\]: 0.938734(193%) || 196373/197315(100%)( 0%)(52%/0.06) || 17172 |19 || D3 H7 C2 G7 F6 H8 H6 D1 H5 D9 
]
;B[dg]BL[731.028]
;W[ch]WL[783.031]C[Casillux [?\]: 0.968613(195%) || 376658/380715(99%)( 0%)(72%/0.03) || 19962 |17 || H5 H7 G7 J5 A4 C8 C7 A5 H6 A3
]
;B[he]BL[691.213]
;W[gf]WL[737.575]
;B[hd]BL[653.063]
;W[gc]WL[686.518]
;B[hc]BL[616.869]
;W[ac]WL[640.466]C[Casillux [?\]: 0.993151(199%) || 286327/291094(98%)( 1%)(38%/0.01) || 24100 |17 || A6 H8 C7 G9 G7 H4 J4 J5 J3 J7
Casillux [?\]: 0.993151(199%) || 286327/291094(98%)( 1%)(38%/0.01) || 24100 |17 || A6 H8 C7 G9 G7 H4 J4 J5 J3 J7
Casillux [?\]: sorry
]
;B[ad]BL[582.672]
;W[ie]WL[597.689]
;B[hf]BL[551.001]C[mogoopp [?\]: white resigns])
